Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

337.9 – 125.71

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

251 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 84.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 489.7 ±10.5

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 137.6Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6945Children of the Corn

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 9.45Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 190.85Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.4 ±11

5992Pirates

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 13.27Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7045MCCrusaders

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 56.86Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 55.58Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8706, 6945, 8513

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8706, 6945, 8513

Auto

87.3 26%

Teleop

201.8 60%

Endgame

47.5 14%

Strengths

· 8513 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5992, 7045, 555

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.7 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5992, 7045, 555

Auto

21.5 18%

Teleop

75.1 63%

Endgame

23.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score337.9pts

Blue projected score125.7pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 212.2
Score range: 106–358
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 459 vs event baseline 112.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

489.7Season APEX295.4

87.3Auto21.5

201.8Teleop75.1

47.5Endgame23

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	41
teleop	126	90
endgame	25	72
foul	5	5
total	251	208

Result

Final score

251 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 84.6 pts

Match videos

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