Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.51 – 27.24

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

258 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 523.9 ±9.9

9116The Canucks & Bolts

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 4.96Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 90.68Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 128.87Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.9 ±11.6

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 8.91Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

41RoboWarriors

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 17.95Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4653Ironmen Robotics

Season APEX 32.7Event APEX 0.38Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9116, 1676, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9116, 1676, 11

Auto

27.9 13%

Teleop

128.3 61%

Endgame

52.7 25%

Strengths

· 11 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5732, 41, 4653

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5732, 41, 4653

Auto

11.2 52%

Teleop

8.3 39%

Endgame

2.0 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score224.5pts

Blue projected score27.2pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 197.3
Score range: 6–246
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 296 vs event baseline 114.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

523.9Season APEX148.9

27.9Auto11.2

128.3Teleop8.3

52.7Endgame2

21Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	18
teleop	144	11
endgame	91	4
foul	10	5
total	258	38

Result

Final score

258 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 pts

Match videos

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