Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.35 – 143.92

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 14.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 126.7 ±11.6

1626Falcon Robotics

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 30.37Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6016Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 15.13Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1811FRESH

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 42.85Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268.9 ±11

10995ACS Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 15.82Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7045MCCrusaders

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 65.53Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 62.57Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1626, 6016, 1811

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1626, 6016, 1811

Auto

17.7 21%

Teleop

41.4 49%

Endgame

25.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10995, 7045, 555

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10995, 7045, 555

Auto

33.4 24%

Teleop

78.1 56%

Endgame

27.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.4pts

Blue projected score143.9pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.6
Score range: 67–165
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 116.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

126.7Season APEX268.9

17.7Auto33.4

41.4Teleop78.1

25.8Endgame27.2

48Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	23
teleop	22	86
endgame	19	34
foul	0	0
total	60	143

Result

Final score

60 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 14.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.