Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
154.88 – 86.76
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
84 – 89
Prediction missed · off by 36.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.9 ±10.4
Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 89.39Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 10.19Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 55.3Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 126.7 ±11.6
Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 29.68Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 15.04Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 42.04Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 193, 8075, 222
73
/ 100 compatProjected
154.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 193, 8075, 222
Auto
21.3 15%
Teleop
83.5 59%
Endgame
36.6 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1626, 6016, 1811
53
/ 100 compatProjected
86.8 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 1626, 6016, 1811
Auto
17.9 21%
Teleop
40.7 49%
Endgame
24.7 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 0.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score154.9pts
Blue projected score86.8pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 68.1
- Score range
- 66–176
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
353.9Season APEX126.7
21.3Auto17.9
83.5Teleop40.7
36.6Endgame24.7
26Consistency41
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 15 |
| teleop | 29 | 38 |
| endgame | 50 | 31 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 84 | 89 |
Result
Final score
84 – 89
Prediction missed · off by 36.6 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.