Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.09 – 55.77

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 5.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 115.9 ±13.3

5624TIGER TECH Robotics

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 16.97Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3142Aperture

Season APEX 37.5Event APEX 9.37Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6860Equitum Robotics

Season APEX 44.8Event APEX 19.75Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189.2 ±12.8

41RoboWarriors

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 18.37Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8707The Newark Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 29.18Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10232Killer Kardinals 2

Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 8.22Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5624, 3142, 6860

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5624, 3142, 6860

Auto

13.4 34%

Teleop

15.6 40%

Endgame

10.3 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 41, 8707, 10232

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 41, 8707, 10232

Auto

12.5 26%

Teleop

27.5 57%

Endgame

8.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.1pts

Blue projected score55.8pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.7
Score range: 26–76
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 91 vs event baseline 113.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

115.9Season APEX189.2

13.4Auto12.5

15.6Teleop27.5

10.3Endgame8.4

28Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	15
teleop	14	24
endgame	15	13
foul	0	0
total	39	52

Result

Final score

39 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 5.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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