Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.75 – 215.62

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 83.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.7 ±11.6

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 15.53Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 9.45Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6945Children of the Corn

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 0.77Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.5 ±11.7

9424E.O. JAG BOTS

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 7.03Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4653Ironmen Robotics

Season APEX 32.7Event APEX 12.67Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 195.92Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8075, 5732, 6945

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.7 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8075, 5732, 6945

Auto

13.8 81%

Teleop

-0.6 0%

Endgame

3.8 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9424, 4653, 8513

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9424, 4653, 8513

Auto

47.4 22%

Teleop

138.2 65%

Endgame

28.2 13%

Strengths

· 8513 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.46 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25.7pts

Blue projected score215.6pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -189.9
Score range: 5–237
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 95 vs event baseline 115.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.7Season APEX370.5

13.8Auto47.4

-0.6Teleop138.2

3.8Endgame28.2

64Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	19
teleop	18	24
endgame	2	11
foul	5	5
total	36	59

Result

Final score

36 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 83.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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