Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

81.7 – 19.3

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

85 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 178.4 ±12.2

6860Equitum Robotics

Season APEX 44.8Event APEX 18.42Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

223Xtreme Heat

Season APEX 99.2Event APEX 47.7Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6016Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 15.58Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 130.2 ±12.7

9116The Canucks & Bolts

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 3.08Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5992Pirates

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 4.43Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

430MORT GAMMA

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 11.79Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6860, 223, 6016

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6860, 223, 6016

Auto

8.2 10%

Teleop

47.3 58%

Endgame

25.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9116, 5992, 430

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9116, 5992, 430

Auto

9.6 100%

Teleop

-5.2 0%

Endgame

3.6 45%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.7pts

Blue projected score19.3pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.4
Score range: -2–103
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 113 vs event baseline 114.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

178.4Season APEX130.2

8.2Auto9.6

47.3Teleop-5.2

25.9Endgame3.6

20Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	8
teleop	43	18
endgame	33	2
foul	5	0
total	85	28

Result

Final score

85 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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