Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

388.94 – 45.53

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

444 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 568.7 ±9.8

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 191.21Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 66.11Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 131.62Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 150.3 ±12.8

9424E.O. JAG BOTS

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 9.37Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

41RoboWarriors

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 19.45Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5624TIGER TECH Robotics

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 16.71Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8513, 222, 8706

/ 100 compat

Projected

388.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8513, 222, 8706

Auto

96.3 25%

Teleop

239.0 62%

Endgame

52.7 14%

Strengths

· 8513 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9424, 41, 5624

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.5 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9424, 41, 5624

Auto

-1.4 0%

Teleop

44.6 100%

Endgame

-4.4 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.6 · Blue 0.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score388.9pts

Blue projected score45.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 343.4
Score range: 26–409
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 464 vs event baseline 112.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

568.7Season APEX150.3

96.3Auto-1.4

239Teleop44.6

52.7Endgame-4.4

13Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	107	9
teleop	273	7
endgame	64	4
foul	0	0
total	444	20

Result

Final score

444 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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