Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

59.75 – 97.88

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 209.2 ±11.7

1811FRESH

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 36.13Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10232Killer Kardinals 2

Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 7.41Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 16.21Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 142 ±12.7

8707The Newark Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 24.56Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10995ACS Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 9.9Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

219Team Impact

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 63.42Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1811, 10232, 8075

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1811, 10232, 8075

Auto

17.4 37%

Teleop

12.8 27%

Endgame

16.9 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8707, 10995, 219

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8707, 10995, 219

Auto

20.5 25%

Teleop

45.5 55%

Endgame

16.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score59.8pts

Blue projected score97.9pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.1
Score range: 40–118
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 113.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

209.2Season APEX142

17.4Auto20.5

12.8Teleop45.5

16.9Endgame16

28Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	23
teleop	30	75
endgame	23	15
foul	0	10
total	66	123

Result

Final score

66 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.