Qualification · Qualification 54
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
152.11 – 76.59
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
161 – 46
Prediction correct · off by 19.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 282.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 25.7Event APEX 6.65Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 84.35Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 61.11Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 36.8Event APEX 35.6Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 20.25Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 20.74Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10366, 193, 222
77
/ 100 compatProjected
152.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 10366, 193, 222
Auto
33.0 23%
Teleop
68.5 48%
Endgame
41.8 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8771, 8075, 5624
45
/ 100 compatProjected
76.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8771, 8075, 5624
Auto
20.6 32%
Teleop
37.0 58%
Endgame
6.6 10%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score152.1pts
Blue projected score76.6pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 75.5
- Score range
- 57–172
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
282.8Season APEX167.2
33Auto20.6
68.5Teleop37
41.8Endgame6.6
0Consistency34
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 10 |
| teleop | 106 | 30 |
| endgame | 45 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 161 | 46 |
Result
Final score
161 – 46
Prediction correct · off by 19.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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