Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.14 – 170.66

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 141.9 ±12.1

6945Children of the Corn

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX -8.67Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3142Aperture

Season APEX 37.5Event APEX 9.76Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

219Team Impact

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 62.05Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.8 ±11.2

430MORT GAMMA

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 20.9Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

41RoboWarriors

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 22.21Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 127.55Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6945, 3142, 219

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6945, 3142, 219

Auto

18.1 32%

Teleop

27.2 48%

Endgame

11.7 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 430, 41, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 430, 41, 11

Auto

19.7 13%

Teleop

99.9 64%

Endgame

37.0 24%

Strengths

· 11 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score63.1pts

Blue projected score170.7pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.5
Score range: 43–191
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 112.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

141.9Season APEX381.8

18.1Auto19.7

27.2Teleop99.9

11.7Endgame37

58Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	24
teleop	43	83
endgame	24	30
foul	5	10
total	93	147

Result

Final score

93 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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