Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

20.26 – 136.18

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 24 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 141.8 ±13.3

9424E.O. JAG BOTS

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX -4.11Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10232Killer Kardinals 2

Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 6.67Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6016Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 17.7Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.4 ±11.7

10997St. George

Season APEX 28.9Event APEX 23.68Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

223Xtreme Heat

Season APEX 99.2Event APEX 45Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7045MCCrusaders

Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 67.5Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9424, 10232, 6016

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9424, 10232, 6016

Auto

0.2 1%

Teleop

16.8 57%

Endgame

12.3 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10997, 223, 7045

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10997, 223, 7045

Auto

9.2 7%

Teleop

92.8 70%

Endgame

30.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score20.3pts

Blue projected score136.2pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -115.9
Score range: 0–156
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 142 vs event baseline 113.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

141.8Season APEX245.4

0.2Auto9.2

16.8Teleop92.8

12.3Endgame30.2

50Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	17
teleop	21	66
endgame	7	22
foul	0	0
total	37	105

Result

Final score

37 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 24 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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