Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

91.41 – 202.46

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 51 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.9 ±11

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 60.6Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 23.9Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9116The Canucks & Bolts

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 6.91Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 497.4 ±9.8

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 15.36Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 123.07Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 64.03Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 222, 8075, 9116

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 222, 8075, 9116

Auto

33.5 40%

Teleop

38.3 46%

Endgame

11.3 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 555, 8706, 1676

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 555, 8706, 1676

Auto

52.0 28%

Teleop

102.8 55%

Endgame

32.3 17%

Strengths

· 8706 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score91.4pts

Blue projected score202.5pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111
Score range: 71–222
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 365 vs event baseline 112.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.9Season APEX497.4

33.5Auto52

38.3Teleop102.8

11.3Endgame32.3

54Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	56
teleop	30	184
endgame	13	49
foul	5	0
total	76	289

Result

Final score

76 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 51 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree