Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

155.16 – 97.54

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

256 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 399 ±11.7

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 157.04Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5992Pirates

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 0.21Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4652Ironmen 2

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX -2.09Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.5 ±12.8

10366Builder Bears

Season APEX 25.7Event APEX 16.69Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5624TIGER TECH Robotics

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 29.88Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

223Xtreme Heat

Season APEX 99.2Event APEX 50.97Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8513, 5992, 4652

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8513, 5992, 4652

Auto

44.1 30%

Teleop

81.4 55%

Endgame

23.2 16%

Strengths

· 8513 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10366, 5624, 223

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10366, 5624, 223

Auto

12.0 14%

Teleop

56.3 65%

Endgame

17.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score155.2pts

Blue projected score97.5pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.6
Score range: 78–175
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 301 vs event baseline 111.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

399Season APEX158.5

44.1Auto12

81.4Teleop56.3

23.2Endgame17.9

46Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	0
teleop	170	12
endgame	64	13
foul	15	20
total	256	45

Result

Final score

256 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.