Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.23 – 196.8

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

24 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.6 ±12.8

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 16.39Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

430MORT GAMMA

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 24.32Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10232Killer Kardinals 2

Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 14.52Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 476.5 ±9.8

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 25.87Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8117Easton RoboRovers

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 13.9Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 157.03Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 555, 430, 10232

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 555, 430, 10232

Auto

16.8 37%

Teleop

10.6 23%

Endgame

18.1 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8075, 8117, 8513

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8075, 8117, 8513

Auto

49.0 26%

Teleop

104.3 56%

Endgame

32.9 18%

Strengths

· 8513 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55.2pts

Blue projected score196.8pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -141.6
Score range: 35–217
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 113.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

225.6Season APEX476.5

16.8Auto49

10.6Teleop104.3

18.1Endgame32.9

56Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	76
teleop	3	90
endgame	7	9
foul	5	0
total	24	175

Result

Final score

24 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.