Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

41.02 – 282.32

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 143 ±11.6

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 10.85Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6016Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 13.49Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8117Easton RoboRovers

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 16.68Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452 ±11.2

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 123.79Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 138.54Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10997St. George

Season APEX 28.9Event APEX 19.99Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5732, 6016, 8117

/ 100 compat

Projected

41 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5732, 6016, 8117

Auto

18.2 44%

Teleop

12.9 31%

Endgame

10.0 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11, 8706, 10997

/ 100 compat

Projected

282.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11, 8706, 10997

Auto

65.1 24%

Teleop

158.5 58%

Endgame

48.8 18%

Strengths

· 8706 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.45 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score41pts

Blue projected score282.3pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -241.3
Score range: 19–304
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 120.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

143Season APEX452

18.2Auto65.1

12.9Teleop158.5

10Endgame48.8

38Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	55
teleop	16	156
endgame	15	41
foul	0	0
total	46	252

Result

Final score

46 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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