Qualification · Qualification 38
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
90.06 – 0
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
59 – 35
Prediction correct · off by 33 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 32.99Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 22.61Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 34.46Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 132.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 27.8Event APEX -22.5Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 28.9Event APEX 16.19Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 4.37Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8075, 6016, 8707
55
/ 100 compatProjected
90.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8075, 6016, 8707
Auto
21.5 27%
Teleop
39.4 50%
Endgame
17.5 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6945, 10997, 8117
0
/ 100 compatProjected
-1.9 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6945, 10997, 8117
Auto
9.1 0%
Teleop
-0.6 11%
Endgame
-14.1 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score90.1pts
Blue projected score-1.9pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 90.1
- Score range
- -21–111
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
163.5Season APEX132.2
21.5Auto9.1
39.4Teleop-0.6
17.5Endgame-14.1
87Consistency29
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 16 |
| teleop | 17 | 5 |
| endgame | 24 | 9 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 59 | 35 |
Result
Final score
59 – 35
Prediction correct · off by 33 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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