Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.81 – 146.5

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 23.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 149.3 ±11.6

10995ACS Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 17.56Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 7.22Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

41RoboWarriors

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 34.03Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.1 ±11.7

555Montclair Robotics

Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 22.58Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 65.14Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8771PioTech

Season APEX 36.8Event APEX 58.78Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10995, 5732, 41

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10995, 5732, 41

Auto

15.0 31%

Teleop

38.9 81%

Endgame

-5.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 555, 222, 8771

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 555, 222, 8771

Auto

32.8 23%

Teleop

78.1 54%

Endgame

33.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58.8pts

Blue projected score146.5pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.7
Score range: 38–168
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 158 vs event baseline 115.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

149.3Season APEX262.1

15Auto32.8

38.9Teleop78.1

-5.7Endgame33.1

68Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	46
teleop	13	66
endgame	10	8
foul	0	0
total	38	120

Result

Final score

38 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 23.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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