Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

216.92 – 183.59

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

140 – 193

Prediction missed · off by 43.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 299.3 ±11.7

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 124.06Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6860Equitum Robotics

Season APEX 44.8Event APEX 49.65Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8075CyberTigers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 43.21Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 344.8 ±11.7

10366Builder Bears

Season APEX 25.7Event APEX 2.73Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 143.49Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1626Falcon Robotics

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 37.37Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8706, 6860, 8075

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8706, 6860, 8075

Auto

52.0 25%

Teleop

110.4 53%

Endgame

44.6 22%

Strengths

· 8706 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10366, 11, 1626

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10366, 11, 1626

Auto

20.5 12%

Teleop

100.5 58%

Endgame

52.9 30%

Strengths

· 11 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score216.9pts

Blue projected score183.6pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.3
Score range: 164–237
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 333 vs event baseline 113.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

299.3Season APEX344.8

52Auto20.5

110.4Teleop100.5

44.6Endgame52.9

77Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	36
teleop	71	97
endgame	14	60
foul	0	0
total	140	193

Result

Final score

140 – 193

Prediction missed · off by 43.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.