Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
64.99 – 9.93
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
44 – 31
Prediction correct · off by 21 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 2.05Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 35.41Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 27.53Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 104.2 ±12.7
Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 3.39Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 0.21Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.5Event APEX 6.33Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8117, 8707, 555
38
/ 100 compatProjected
65 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8117, 8707, 555
Auto
20.9 45%
Teleop
17.9 38%
Endgame
7.8 17%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5732, 9424, 3142
16
/ 100 compatProjected
9.9 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5732, 9424, 3142
Auto
8.6 59%
Teleop
2.5 17%
Endgame
3.6 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 0.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score65pts
Blue projected score9.9pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 55.1
- Score range
- -11–86
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
226.3Season APEX104.2
20.9Auto8.6
17.9Teleop2.5
7.8Endgame3.6
72Consistency91
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 13 |
| teleop | 11 | 4 |
| endgame | 0 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 44 | 31 |
Result
Final score
44 – 31
Prediction correct · off by 21 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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