Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

59.05 – 24.89

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

74 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 26 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 109 ±11.6

10995ACS Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 13.78Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1811FRESH

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 49.73Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9116The Canucks & Bolts

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX -4.46Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.6 ±12.2

10997St. George

Season APEX 28.9Event APEX 3.81Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

41RoboWarriors

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 33.06Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5992Pirates

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX -11.98Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10995, 1811, 9116

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10995, 1811, 9116

Auto

28.5 52%

Teleop

23.5 43%

Endgame

3.2 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10997, 41, 5992

/ 100 compat

Projected

24.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10997, 41, 5992

Auto

-3.3 0%

Teleop

32.0 100%

Endgame

-9.6 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score59.1pts

Blue projected score24.9pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34.2
Score range: 4–80
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 136 vs event baseline 117.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

109Season APEX171.6

28.5Auto-3.3

23.5Teleop32

3.2Endgame-9.6

24Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	20
teleop	28	35
endgame	13	7
foul	20	0
total	74	62

Result

Final score

74 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 26 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.