Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

129.86 – 37.85

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

85 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.4 ±10.4

222Tigertrons

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 85.61Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8117Easton RoboRovers

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 13.14Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

41RoboWarriors

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 31.11Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 168 ±12.8

223Xtreme Heat

Season APEX 99.2Event APEX 54.93Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9424E.O. JAG BOTS

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX -9.72Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4652Ironmen 2

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX -7.36Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 222, 8117, 41

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 222, 8117, 41

Auto

29.7 23%

Teleop

81.5 64%

Endgame

17.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 223, 9424, 4652

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 223, 9424, 4652

Auto

-4.2 0%

Teleop

26.5 66%

Endgame

17.7 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129.9pts

Blue projected score37.9pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92
Score range: 16–152
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 127 vs event baseline 122.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.4Season APEX168

29.7Auto-4.2

81.5Teleop26.5

17Endgame17.7

15Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	3
teleop	59	30
endgame	3	9
foul	5	0
total	85	42

Result

Final score

85 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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