Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

162.05 – 202.46

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 292.4 ±11.7

6016Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 34.83Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8771PioTech

Season APEX 36.8Event APEX 60.2Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 67.02Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.1 ±12.4

5624TIGER TECH Robotics

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 19.78Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 144.13Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8707The Newark Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 38.55Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6016, 8771, 1676

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6016, 8771, 1676

Auto

23.6 15%

Teleop

89.4 55%

Endgame

48.3 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5624, 8513, 8707

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5624, 8513, 8707

Auto

60.9 33%

Teleop

79.0 43%

Endgame

44.4 24%

Strengths

· 8513 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score162.1pts

Blue projected score202.5pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.4
Score range: 141–223
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 118.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

292.4Season APEX370.1

23.6Auto60.9

89.4Teleop79

48.3Endgame44.4

131Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	60
teleop	28	148
endgame	52	2
foul	0	15
total	104	225

Result

Final score

104 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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