Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
24.22 – 129.58
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
13 – 97
Prediction correct · off by 21.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 103.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 6.89Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.6Event APEX -4.08Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 21.41Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268.5 ±11
Season APEX 117.3Event APEX 64.26Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32.7Event APEX 2.7Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 118.5Event APEX 62.62Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9116, 9424, 8707
12
/ 100 compatProjected
24.2 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9116, 9424, 8707
Auto
10.7 54%
Teleop
12.5 63%
Endgame
-3.4 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7045, 4653, 555
65
/ 100 compatProjected
129.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7045, 4653, 555
Auto
31.6 25%
Teleop
69.3 55%
Endgame
25.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 1.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score24.2pts
Blue projected score129.6pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -105.4
- Score range
- 2–152
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
103.2Season APEX268.5
10.7Auto31.6
12.5Teleop69.3
-3.4Endgame25.2
12Consistency20
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 20 |
| teleop | 2 | 30 |
| endgame | 0 | 42 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 13 | 97 |
Result
Final score
13 – 97
Prediction correct · off by 21.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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