Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
49.88 – 165.99
19%81%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
36 – 152
Prediction correct · off by 13.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.9 ±11.6
Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 24.19Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37.5Event APEX 9.94Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 15.75Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 276 ±11.7
Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 117.05Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 28.9Event APEX 10.27Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 38.67Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 41, 3142, 9116
28
/ 100 compatProjected
49.9 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 41, 3142, 9116
Auto
27.2 58%
Teleop
21.3 46%
Endgame
-2.0 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 193, 10997, 8075
71
/ 100 compatProjected
166 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 193, 10997, 8075
Auto
15.2 10%
Teleop
99.9 68%
Endgame
32.0 22%
Strengths
- · 193 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score49.9pts
Blue projected score166pts
Red win probability19%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -116.1
- Score range
- 28–188
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
157.9Season APEX276
27.2Auto15.2
21.3Teleop99.9
-2Endgame32
66Consistency61
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 13 |
| teleop | 20 | 76 |
| endgame | 3 | 63 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 36 | 152 |
Result
Final score
36 – 152
Prediction correct · off by 13.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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