Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

101.29 – 26.31

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

126 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 23.2 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 312.4 ±11.1

3142Aperture

Season APEX 37.5Event APEX 12.51Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 46.22Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1626Falcon Robotics

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 42.56Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 113.1 ±13.3

5732ROBOTIGERS

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX -14.43Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4652Ironmen 2

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX -5.48Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6860Equitum Robotics

Season APEX 44.8Event APEX 46.22Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3142, 1676, 1626

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3142, 1676, 1626

Auto

15.4 16%

Teleop

36.0 38%

Endgame

43.1 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5732, 4652, 6860

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5732, 4652, 6860

Auto

-0.6 0%

Teleop

8.7 33%

Endgame

18.6 70%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score101.3pts

Blue projected score26.3pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 75
Score range: 4–123
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 120.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

312.4Season APEX113.1

15.4Auto-0.6

36Teleop8.7

43.1Endgame18.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	15
teleop	52	6
endgame	56	12
foul	0	15
total	126	48

Result

Final score

126 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 23.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.