Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

30.71 – 112.94

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 13.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 144 ±12.8

4652Ironmen 2

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 11.27Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10366Builder Bears

Season APEX 25.7Event APEX -0.84Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

41RoboWarriors

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 20.28Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.8 ±12.4

10232Killer Kardinals 2

Season APEX 73.8Event APEX 8.78Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 82.21Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6860Equitum Robotics

Season APEX 44.8Event APEX 21.95Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4652, 10366, 41

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4652, 10366, 41

Auto

9.5 32%

Teleop

10.6 36%

Endgame

9.5 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10232, 1676, 6860

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10232, 1676, 6860

Auto

13.3 12%

Teleop

58.0 54%

Endgame

35.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score30.7pts

Blue projected score112.9pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -82.2
Score range: 9–135
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 159 vs event baseline 120.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

144Season APEX339.8

9.5Auto13.3

10.6Teleop58

9.5Endgame35.9

10Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	9
teleop	14	56
endgame	1	54
foul	0	15
total	25	134

Result

Final score

25 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 13.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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