Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

322.51 – 143.55

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

383 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 55 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 489.7 ±10.5

8706MXS Bulldog Bots

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 136.53Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6945Children of the Corn

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 7.14Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 178.84Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.6 ±11.7

10997St. George

Season APEX 28.9Event APEX 17.42Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9116The Canucks & Bolts

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 4.14Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 121.99Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8706, 6945, 8513

/ 100 compat

Projected

322.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8706, 6945, 8513

Auto

87.9 29%

Teleop

179.7 58%

Endgame

40.8 13%

Strengths

· 8513 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10997, 9116, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10997, 9116, 11

Auto

24.3 17%

Teleop

86.4 61%

Endgame

30.6 22%

Strengths

· 11 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score322.5pts

Blue projected score143.6pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 179
Score range: 123–344
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 576 vs event baseline 118.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

489.7Season APEX331.6

87.9Auto24.3

179.7Teleop86.4

40.8Endgame30.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	100	33
teleop	216	95
endgame	67	60
foul	0	5
total	383	193

Result

Final score

383 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 55 pts

Match videos

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