Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
576.8 – 233.13
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
605 – 265
Prediction correct · off by 30 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 720.7 ±9.9
Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 331.62Rank 1Record 4-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 72Rank 28Record 0-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 173.18Rank 8Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 570.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 108.4Event APEX -16.6Rank 18Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 170.48Rank 6Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 79.25Rank 20Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 316, 1599, 694
83
/ 100 compatProjected
576.8 pts
~2.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 316, 1599, 694
Auto
118.5 21%
Teleop
309.3 55%
Endgame
137.9 24%
Strengths
- · 316 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1923, 1676, 3314
63
/ 100 compatProjected
233.1 pts
~0.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1923, 1676, 3314
Auto
66.6 30%
Teleop
98.8 44%
Endgame
57.9 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score576.8pts
Blue projected score233.1pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample68alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 343.7
- Score range
- 185–625
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
720.7Season APEX570.7
118.5Auto66.6
309.3Teleop98.8
137.9Endgame57.9
11Consistency116
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 131 | 60 |
| teleop | 351 | 116 |
| endgame | 123 | 84 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 605 | 265 |
Result
Final score
605 – 265
Prediction correct · off by 30 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.