Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

170.63 – 213.7

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

119 – 305

Prediction correct · off by 71.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 296.4 ±12.2

369High Voltage Robotics

Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 127.41Rank 9Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 61.91Rank 15Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5353LoCo Raptors

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX -18.69Rank 21Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 436.6 ±10.5

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 114.86Rank 7Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX -1.02Rank 12Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 99.86Rank 11Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 369, 2377, 5353

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.6 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 369, 2377, 5353

Auto

19.5 12%

Teleop

93.4 56%

Endgame

53.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6921, 7414, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.7 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6921, 7414, 484

Auto

48.1 22%

Teleop

110.3 51%

Endgame

57.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score170.6pts

Blue projected score213.7pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43.1
Score range: 123–262
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 424 vs event baseline 268.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

296.4Season APEX436.6

19.5Auto48.1

93.4Teleop110.3

53.7Endgame57.1

31Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	74
teleop	81	170
endgame	13	61
foul	0	0
total	119	305

Result

Final score

119 – 305

Prediction correct · off by 71.5 pts

Match videos

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