Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

484.82 – 232.18

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

694 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 138.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 720.7 ±9.9

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 300.16Rank 1Record 4-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1599CircuiTree

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 39.12Rank 28Record 0-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 145.54Rank 8Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 522.6 ±11.9

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 57.23Rank 17Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 89

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 76.23Rank 27Record 0-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3136O.R.C.A.

Season APEX 123.8Event APEX 98.72Rank 10Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 316, 1599, 694

/ 100 compat

Projected

484.8 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 316, 1599, 694

Auto

99.5 21%

Teleop

259.9 54%

Endgame

120.6 25%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 271, 5338, 3136

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.2 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 271, 5338, 3136

Auto

46.9 21%

Teleop

118.4 52%

Endgame

63.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score484.8pts

Blue projected score232.2pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 252.6
Score range: 186–531
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 994 vs event baseline 257.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

720.7Season APEX522.6

99.5Auto46.9

259.9Teleop118.4

120.6Endgame63

62Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	141	38
teleop	373	171
endgame	165	91
foul	15	0
total	694	300

Result

Final score

694 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 138.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.