Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
206.55 – 182.25
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
250 – 372
Prediction missed · off by 116.6 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 698.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 251Event APEX 71.14Rank 27Record 0-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 116.86Rank 8Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 123.8Event APEX 18.55Rank 10Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 405.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 19.14Rank 16Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 44.52Rank 12Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 118.59Rank 1Record 4-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5338, 694, 3136
64
/ 100 compatProjected
206.6 pts
~1.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5338, 694, 3136
Auto
39.0 19%
Teleop
115.8 57%
Endgame
47.7 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7770, 7414, 316
54
/ 100 compatProjected
182.3 pts
~1.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 7770, 7414, 316
Auto
10.1 6%
Teleop
110.1 64%
Endgame
52.1 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score206.6pts
Blue projected score182.3pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample68alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 24.3
- Score range
- 140–249
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
698.1Season APEX405.8
39Auto10.1
115.8Teleop110.1
47.7Endgame52.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 91 | 73 |
| teleop | 112 | 223 |
| endgame | 47 | 76 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 250 | 372 |
Result
Final score
250 – 372
Prediction missed · off by 116.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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