Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.53 – 227.94

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 56.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 449.9 ±11.2

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 105.03Rank 19Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 8.27Rank 18Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7770Infinite Voltage

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 23.23Rank 16Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.3 ±11.1

11104Phoenix Phanatics

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 45.81Rank 13Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 173.78Rank 14Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 8.35Rank 12Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2539, 1923, 7770

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.5 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2539, 1923, 7770

Auto

28.5 20%

Teleop

76.0 54%

Endgame

35.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11104, 1640, 7414

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.9 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11104, 1640, 7414

Auto

44.1 20%

Teleop

125.3 58%

Endgame

48.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score136.5pts

Blue projected score227.9pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.4
Score range: 84–281
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 292.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

449.9Season APEX357.3

28.5Auto44.1

76Teleop125.3

35.3Endgame48.5

65Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	35
teleop	23	104
endgame	24	30
foul	0	15
total	67	184

Result

Final score

67 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 56.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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