Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

440.94 – 121.82

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

453 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 531 ±11.7

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 352.42Rank 1Record 4-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

369High Voltage Robotics

Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 124.36Rank 9Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5353LoCo Raptors

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX -35.84Rank 21Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.9 ±40.8

3314Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 114.8Rank 20Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 38.95Rank 24Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -31.93Rank 26Record 1-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 316, 369, 5353

/ 100 compat

Projected

440.9 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 316, 369, 5353

Auto

54.7 13%

Teleop

261.9 60%

Endgame

119.8 27%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3314, 365, 9996

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.8 pts

~0.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3314, 365, 9996

Auto

18.3 16%

Teleop

70.7 62%

Endgame

25.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score440.9pts

Blue projected score121.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 319.1
Score range: 69–494
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 555 vs event baseline 292.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

531Season APEX354.9

54.7Auto18.3

261.9Teleop70.7

119.8Endgame25.1

59Consistency122

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	14
teleop	267	66
endgame	150	7
foul	15	15
total	453	102

Result

Final score

453 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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