Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

278.5 – 351.5

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

463 – 327

Prediction missed · off by 104.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 623.9 ±9.3

3136O.R.C.A.

Season APEX 123.8Event APEX 63.32Rank 10Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 127.2Rank 6Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 87.98Rank 4Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 523.4 ±11.2

369High Voltage Robotics

Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 149.18Rank 9Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 133.23Rank 19Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 69.09Rank 15Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3136, 1676, 341

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.5 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3136, 1676, 341

Auto

71.6 26%

Teleop

149.6 54%

Endgame

54.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 369, 2539, 2377

/ 100 compat

Projected

351.5 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 369, 2539, 2377

Auto

8.5 3%

Teleop

227.4 67%

Endgame

103.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score278.5pts

Blue projected score351.5pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -73
Score range: 233–398
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 790 vs event baseline 254.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

623.9Season APEX523.4

71.6Auto8.5

149.6Teleop227.4

54.8Endgame103.5

71Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	41
teleop	240	228
endgame	119	53
foul	15	5
total	463	327

Result

Final score

463 – 327

Prediction missed · off by 104.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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