Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

71.31 – 141.56

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

111 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.2 ±11.7

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 4.64Rank 12Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4637BambieBotz

Season APEX 9.6Event APEX 0.44Rank 25Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 66.23Rank 27Record 0-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.9 ±40.9

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 9.38Rank 26Record 1-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11104Phoenix Phanatics

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 27.57Rank 13Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 104.61Rank 3Record 4-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7414, 4637, 5338

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.3 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7414, 4637, 5338

Auto

21.3 31%

Teleop

37.5 55%

Endgame

9.8 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9996, 11104, 1391

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.6 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9996, 11104, 1391

Auto

28.1 22%

Teleop

69.4 53%

Endgame

33.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score71.3pts

Blue projected score141.6pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.2
Score range: 24–189
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 303 vs event baseline 261.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297.2Season APEX286.9

21.3Auto28.1

37.5Teleop69.4

9.8Endgame33.1

135Consistency215

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	11
teleop	60	121
endgame	15	60
foul	0	0
total	111	192

Result

Final score

111 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.