Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

240.17 – 465.68

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

276 – 644

Prediction correct · off by 107.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 471.6 ±12.4

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 181.98Rank 14Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4342Demon Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 24.81Rank 23Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 33.38Rank 17Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 762.9 ±9.3

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 128.44Rank 8Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 273.79Rank 1Record 4-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 63.45Rank 7Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1640, 4342, 271

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.2 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1640, 4342, 271

Auto

18.2 8%

Teleop

138.2 60%

Endgame

75.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 694, 316, 6921

/ 100 compat

Projected

465.7 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 694, 316, 6921

Auto

79.5 17%

Teleop

280.3 61%

Endgame

98.1 21%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score240.2pts

Blue projected score465.7pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -225.5
Score range: 195–511
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 920 vs event baseline 247.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

471.6Season APEX762.9

18.2Auto79.5

138.2Teleop280.3

75.2Endgame98.1

76Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	133
teleop	119	336
endgame	92	175
foul	15	0
total	276	644

Result

Final score

276 – 644

Prediction correct · off by 107.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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