Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

211.83 – 21.28

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

170 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 45.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.2 ±10.5

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 92.92Rank 15Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 99.02Rank 4Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7414Retrobotics

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 19.89Rank 12Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 155.4 ±12.2

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 4.05Rank 24Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4637BambieBotz

Season APEX 9.6Event APEX -27.39Rank 25Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2559Normality Zero

Season APEX 32Event APEX 44.62Rank 22Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2377, 341, 7414

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.8 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2377, 341, 7414

Auto

54.6 26%

Teleop

126.9 61%

Endgame

28.2 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 365, 4637, 2559

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.3 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 365, 4637, 2559

Auto

18.1 100%

Teleop

23.4 100%

Endgame

-26.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score211.8pts

Blue projected score21.3pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 190.6
Score range: -26–259
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 258.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410.2Season APEX155.4

54.6Auto18.1

126.9Teleop23.4

28.2Endgame-26

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	10
teleop	81	36
endgame	54	25
foul	0	0
total	170	71

Result

Final score

170 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 45.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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