Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

65.17 – 32.86

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

565 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 268 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 703.9 ±9.3

3136O.R.C.A.

Season APEX 123.8Event APEX -3.7Rank 10Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 13.84Rank 19Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1640Sab-BOT-age

Season APEX 278.5Event APEX 55.03Rank 14Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 215.9 ±41.6

1599CircuiTree

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX -7.56Rank 28Record 0-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 35.43Rank 17Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9996Off-Season Demo Team 9996

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 4.99Rank 26Record 1-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3136, 2539, 1640

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.2 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3136, 2539, 1640

Auto

11.2 17%

Teleop

36.1 54%

Endgame

19.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1599, 271, 9996

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.9 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1599, 271, 9996

Auto

10.1 37%

Teleop

12.4 45%

Endgame

5.1 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score65.2pts

Blue projected score32.9pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.3
Score range: -13–111
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 634 vs event baseline 253.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

703.9Season APEX215.9

11.2Auto10.1

36.1Teleop12.4

19.3Endgame5.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	18
teleop	350	24
endgame	139	22
foul	0	5
total	565	69

Result

Final score

565 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 268 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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