Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

274.49 – 183.95

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

426 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 92.2 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 527.1 ±11.2

369High Voltage Robotics

Season APEX 127.1Event APEX 100.77Rank 9Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 51.07Rank 7Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 122.65Rank 11Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.2 ±11.7

7770Infinite Voltage

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 28.65Rank 16Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 95.28Rank 27Record 0-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4342Demon Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 60.02Rank 23Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 369, 6921, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.5 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 369, 6921, 484

Auto

19.7 7%

Teleop

168.0 63%

Endgame

79.4 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7770, 5338, 4342

/ 100 compat

Projected

184 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7770, 5338, 4342

Auto

52.0 29%

Teleop

68.3 38%

Endgame

61.5 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score274.5pts

Blue projected score184pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.5
Score range: 140–318
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 577 vs event baseline 243.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

527.1Season APEX336.2

19.7Auto52

168Teleop68.3

79.4Endgame61.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	35
teleop	253	60
endgame	115	56
foul	0	0
total	426	151

Result

Final score

426 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 92.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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