Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

598.43 – 314.42

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

638 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 55 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 720.7 ±9.9

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 351.61Rank 1Record 4-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1599CircuiTree

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 82.37Rank 28Record 0-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 164.45Rank 8Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 570.7 ±9.3

3314Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 117.78Rank 20Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 185.69Rank 6Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1923The MidKnight Inventors

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 10.95Rank 18Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 316, 1599, 694

/ 100 compat

Projected

598.4 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 316, 1599, 694

Auto

125.7 21%

Teleop

340.0 58%

Endgame

122.6 21%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3314, 1676, 1923

/ 100 compat

Projected

314.4 pts

~0.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3314, 1676, 1923

Auto

68.6 23%

Teleop

150.1 49%

Endgame

85.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score598.4pts

Blue projected score314.4pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample68alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 284
Score range: 262–650
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 882 vs event baseline 287.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

720.7Season APEX570.7

125.7Auto68.6

340Teleop150.1

122.6Endgame85.5

28Consistency127

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	147	80
teleop	357	127
endgame	134	22
foul	0	15
total	638	244

Result

Final score

638 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 55 pts

Match videos

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