Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
603.39 – 298.56
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
578 – 412
Prediction correct · off by 69.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 720.7 ±9.9
Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 350.98Rank 1Record 4-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 83.7Rank 28Record 0-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 168.71Rank 8Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 570.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 112.02Rank 20Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 180.63Rank 6Record 3-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 5.91Rank 18Record 2-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 316, 1599, 694
81
/ 100 compatProjected
603.4 pts
~2.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 316, 1599, 694
Auto
122.8 21%
Teleop
340.0 57%
Endgame
131.5 22%
Strengths
- · 316 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3314, 1676, 1923
73
/ 100 compatProjected
298.6 pts
~0.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3314, 1676, 1923
Auto
66.0 23%
Teleop
146.3 51%
Endgame
74.3 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score603.4pts
Blue projected score298.6pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample68alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 304.8
- Score range
- 248–654
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
720.7Season APEX570.7
122.8Auto66
340Teleop146.3
131.5Endgame74.3
21Consistency134
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 138 | 85 |
| teleop | 340 | 173 |
| endgame | 85 | 154 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 578 | 412 |
Result
Final score
578 – 412
Prediction correct · off by 69.4 pts
Match videos
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