Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

341.9 – 268.78

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

318 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 544.3 ±9.8

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 156.24Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 30.65Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 155.01Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 620.3 ±9.3

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 139.56Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 114.56Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

509Red Storm

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 14.66Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 133, 3597, 6324

/ 100 compat

Projected

341.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 133, 3597, 6324

Auto

68.1 21%

Teleop

188.4 58%

Endgame

70.8 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8046, 1922, 509

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8046, 1922, 509

Auto

49.6 19%

Teleop

145.6 56%

Endgame

66.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score341.9pts

Blue projected score268.8pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.1
Score range: 235–376
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 588 vs event baseline 189.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

544.3Season APEX620.3

68.1Auto49.6

188.4Teleop145.6

70.8Endgame66.7

0Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	45
teleop	182	145
endgame	78	65
foul	0	15
total	318	270

Result

Final score

318 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 pts

Match videos

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