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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
NE District UNH Event

Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

269.15 – 191.5

72%28%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

265 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 620.3 ±9.3
8046LakerBots
A
Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 139.7Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1922Oz-Ram
A
Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 114.71Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
509Red Storm
C
Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 14.74Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 253.5 ±11.6
5902The Wire Clippers
D
Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 31.14Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
7674RaiderBots
C
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 92.05Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4564Orange Chaos
D
Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 68.31Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8046, 1922, 509
79
/ 100 compat
Projected
269.2 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8046, 1922, 509
Auto
47.2 18%
Teleop
149.2 56%
Endgame
68.5 26%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5902, 7674, 4564
64
/ 100 compat
Projected
191.5 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5902, 7674, 4564
Auto
35.6 19%
Teleop
100.5 55%
Endgame
48.3 26%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score269.2pts
Blue projected score191.5pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
77.6
Score range
158–303
Upset likelihood
28%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff
Standard match.

Combined score 431 vs event baseline 189.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

620.3Season APEX253.5
47.2Auto35.6
149.2Teleop100.5
68.5Endgame48.3
11Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6624
teleop12093
endgame5449
foul250
total265166

Result

Final score

265 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 pts

Match videos

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