Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
173.09 – 192.8
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
157 – 69
Prediction missed · off by 69.9 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 71.14Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88Event APEX 20.81Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 81.14Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 250.4 ±12.2
Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 49.14Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 71.14Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 72.52Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 58, 11336, 9055
67
/ 100 compatProjected
173.1 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 58, 11336, 9055
Auto
35.6 21%
Teleop
91.2 53%
Endgame
44.1 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 509, 8410, 69
67
/ 100 compatProjected
192.8 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 509, 8410, 69
Auto
24.8 13%
Teleop
108.8 58%
Endgame
54.5 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score173.1pts
Blue projected score192.8pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -19.7
- Score range
- 139–227
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
294.2Season APEX250.4
35.6Auto24.8
91.2Teleop108.8
44.1Endgame54.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 7 |
| teleop | 73 | 34 |
| endgame | 53 | 28 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 157 | 69 |
Result
Final score
157 – 69
Prediction missed · off by 69.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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