Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

101.8 – 158.96

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

161 – 139

Prediction missed · off by 39.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 311.8 ±11

172Northern Force

Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 60.4Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 20.04Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 21.36Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270.1 ±11.7

6762Oscats

Season APEX 29Event APEX 7.64Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

58The Riot Crew

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 78.67Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4925The Resistance

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 72.65Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 172, 1350, 1307

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 172, 1350, 1307

Auto

33.0 34%

Teleop

40.2 41%

Endgame

23.8 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6762, 58, 4925

/ 100 compat

Projected

159 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6762, 58, 4925

Auto

10.9 7%

Teleop

98.2 63%

Endgame

48.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score101.8pts

Blue projected score159pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.2
Score range: 69–192
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 300 vs event baseline 181.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

311.8Season APEX270.1

33Auto10.9

40.2Teleop98.2

23.8Endgame48

53Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	25
teleop	91	75
endgame	40	39
foul	0	0
total	161	139

Result

Final score

161 – 139

Prediction missed · off by 39.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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