Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

130.96 – 276.08

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 51.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.8 ±12.2

1721Tidal Force

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 21.06Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

69HYPER

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 73.33Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1512The Big Red

Season APEX 135.2Event APEX 36.57Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 580 ±10.7

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 146.61Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 109.21Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 20.26Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1721, 69, 1512

/ 100 compat

Projected

131 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1721, 69, 1512

Auto

12.9 11%

Teleop

76.8 66%

Endgame

26.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1058, 1922, 2712

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1058, 1922, 2712

Auto

71.3 25%

Teleop

151.4 54%

Endgame

58.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131pts

Blue projected score276.1pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -145.1
Score range: 99–308
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 452 vs event baseline 179.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

271.8Season APEX580

12.9Auto71.3

76.8Teleop151.4

26.1Endgame58.3

32Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	80
teleop	55	166
endgame	24	104
foul	5	0
total	102	350

Result

Final score

102 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 51.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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