Qualification · Qualification 70
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
239.75 – 128.03
80%20%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
285 – 180
Prediction correct · off by 48.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 435.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 11.16Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 137.14Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 91.45Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.3 ±12.8
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 32.38Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 10.49Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 85.16Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4034, 8046, 7674
72
/ 100 compatProjected
239.8 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4034, 8046, 7674
Auto
42.3 18%
Teleop
147.2 63%
Endgame
45.1 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8410, 9443, 2648
50
/ 100 compatProjected
128 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8410, 9443, 2648
Auto
9.9 8%
Teleop
70.6 60%
Endgame
36.6 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.29 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score239.8pts
Blue projected score128pts
Red win probability80%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 111.7
- Score range
- 96–272
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
435.8Season APEX242.3
42.3Auto9.9
147.2Teleop70.6
45.1Endgame36.6
25Consistency89
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 27 |
| teleop | 138 | 106 |
| endgame | 73 | 47 |
| foul | 25 | 0 |
| total | 285 | 180 |
Result
Final score
285 – 180
Prediction correct · off by 48.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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