Skip to content
Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

239.75128.03

80%20%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

285180

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 435.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 11.16Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 137.14Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 91.45Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.3 ±12.8
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 32.38Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 10.49Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 85.16Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4034, 8046, 7674
72
/ 100 compat
Projected
239.8 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4034, 8046, 7674
Auto
42.3 18%
Teleop
147.2 63%
Endgame
45.1 19%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8410, 9443, 2648
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
128 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8410, 9443, 2648
Auto
9.9 8%
Teleop
70.6 60%
Endgame
36.6 31%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.29 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score239.8pts
Blue projected score128pts
Red win probability80%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
111.7
Score range
96272
Upset likelihood
20%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 465 vs event baseline 178.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

435.8Season APEX242.3
42.3Auto9.9
147.2Teleop70.6
45.1Endgame36.6
25Consistency89

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto4927
teleop138106
endgame7347
foul250
total285180

Result

Final score

285180

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.