Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
161.99 – 124.58
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
243 – 199
Prediction correct · off by 77.7 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 368 ±11.7
Season APEX 60.1Event APEX -Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 83.43Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 47.71Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 372.3 ±11
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 28.86Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 53.43Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 42.29Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6895, 1058, 811
64
/ 100 compatProjected
162 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6895, 1058, 811
Auto
27.5 17%
Teleop
86.0 55%
Endgame
44.2 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7674, 1307, 4761
55
/ 100 compatProjected
124.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7674, 1307, 4761
Auto
18.0 15%
Teleop
63.7 54%
Endgame
35.7 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score162pts
Blue projected score124.6pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 37.4
- Score range
- 92–195
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
368Season APEX372.3
18.3Auto18
70.6Teleop63.7
38Endgame35.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 63 | 11 |
| teleop | 112 | 119 |
| endgame | 68 | 69 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 243 | 199 |
Result
Final score
243 – 199
Prediction correct · off by 77.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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