Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

261.49 – 93.12

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

269 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 503.5 ±10.5

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 159.77Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 22.84Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

58The Riot Crew

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 78.88Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.3 ±13.3

6762Oscats

Season APEX 29Event APEX 11.78Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11336Anomaly

Season APEX 88Event APEX 57.26Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1721Tidal Force

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 24.08Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6324, 1307, 58

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6324, 1307, 58

Auto

33.9 14%

Teleop

137.7 55%

Endgame

78.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6762, 11336, 1721

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6762, 11336, 1721

Auto

10.5 12%

Teleop

44.1 51%

Endgame

31.7 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score261.5pts

Blue projected score93.1pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 168.4
Score range: 60–294
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 341 vs event baseline 180.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

503.5Season APEX167.3

33.9Auto10.5

137.7Teleop44.1

78.4Endgame31.7

23Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	8
teleop	167	21
endgame	70	38
foul	5	5
total	269	72

Result

Final score

269 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 14.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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